AI forecasts where monsoon landslides will hit Nepal up to two weeks ahead
Monsoon landslides cause losses in Nepal every year, and planners rarely get enough warning to act. A study accepted in npj Natural Hazards, shared on Durham University’s research repository, describes an AI framework that forecasts landslide impacts for every district in Nepal over the next 14 days. It combines terrain data, recent rainfall and sub seasonal rain forecasts from weather models. Trained on records from 2016 to 2022, it scored an F1 of 0.7 or higher during the 2023 and 2024 monsoons. The authors built it to help local governments and humanitarian groups prepare before disaster strikes.